Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1935.894926 2111.900899 2291.593496 2488.490086 2697.885009 2913.638114 3152.459499
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1642.889606 1899.907272 2173.525384 2485.392749 2829.877359 3197.647248 3618.826798
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1438.041622 1738.756623 2069.158089 2456.844539 2896.949151 3378.730127 3943.640351
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1314.118347 1649.196065 2027.092704 2481.103259 3007.891299 3596.059671 4298.454380
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1199.760858 1557.966026 1971.645570 2479.260407 3079.719325 3761.772193 4589.230007
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1130.371439 1512.619176 1963.302450 2526.479853 3203.688219 3984.131788 4943.478835
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1037.585862 1431.245740 1905.124392 2508.056745 3244.817732 4105.890040 5177.802202
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 992.771089 1405.560224 1911.336035 2564.695221 3373.846267 4330.549458 5533.903785
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 934.266979 1358.131871 1886.818476 2580.187443 3450.329122 4490.896706 5812.988960
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 875.906829 1306.953463 1854.084321 2582.265855 3507.809052 4626.697632 6061.948751
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 788.468371 1211.924755 1760.144658 2501.853532 3457.972834 4627.667935 6143.803623
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 771.609444 1211.153015 1788.148798 2577.753339 3605.555517 4873.237126 6528.072249
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 742.007626 1191.929701 1791.597364 2622.473216 3715.399390 5075.240899 6863.863281
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 696.574292 1148.000038 1759.834911 2619.129844 3762.352519 5198.220470 7102.199109
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 645.578129 1093.073860 1710.304946 2589.429150 3772.766571 5273.358072 7279.581747
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 617.099551 1069.270374 1702.309448 2614.667663 3854.778873 5439.955475 7573.704047
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 581.922184 1033.449977 1675.642349 2612.750463 3899.525016 5558.000945 7806.106065
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 565.083905 1024.369164 1686.198473 2661.870613 4012.780039 5765.652157 8155.217221
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 528.946224 983.506789 1649.142216 2642.706989 4032.299600 5850.005681 8344.844407
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 517.723081 980.993337 1667.499713 2701.617775 4158.581644 6075.635220 8719.782956
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 495.242290 959.272664 1656.448233 2717.729353 4225.569474 6222.871599 8993.095472
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 470.405621 932.363308 1636.436465 2719.890787 4272.534354 6343.249511 9231.594145
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 425.266125 869.360960 1559.272578 2636.254133 4197.154072 6297.485933 9248.763803